Friday, July 13, 2012

Amarish vs. The Rest

Since 2000, five colts completed the Willard Proctor Memorial/Hollywood Juvenile Championship double. The most accomplished winner Squirtle Squirt evolved into a Breeders Cup Sprint hero and a Champion Sprinter.

This year’s Willard Proctor champ AMARISH faces six rivals in the Hollywood Juvenile Championship in his quest to join Squirtle Squirt on the exclusive list. So dominating was Amarish’s performance in the Willard Proctor, that only JUST CALL ME AL , who was 7 ¾ lengths distant in the Willard Proctor will take on Amarish again. The rest remainder of the field is comprised of last out maiden winners and one obligatory maiden.

DIRTY SWAGG (Street Hero - Diversa, by Tabasco Cat) was caught flat-footed at the start in his debut, but rallied to finish within 3 ½ lengths of the winner. Dirty Swagg will appreciate a bit more real estate. He’s a half brother to Vanity Handicap (G-1, 9F) Love Theway Youare. His first crop sire won the Norfolk stakes but was injured before he could show his stuff as a three year old. His offspring should do well through two turns and with age. Dirty Swagg turns around in just 13 days.

Mentioned last month on the Kiddie List, CARSON'S CROWN (Harlan's Holiday - Delicatessa, by Dare and Go) came up between horses to win his 5F debut by ½ lengths. His dam was stakes placed at two and became a multiple stakes winner in Canada. She’s a half sister to two stakes winners, including Sassy Pants, the dam of the Grade 1 heroines Dubai Escapade and Madcap Escapade. Sassy Pants is the grand dam of Darly Debutante winner Mi Sueno. Carson’s Crown has posted three rapid breezes.

Maiden claimers were no match for SCHERER MAGIC (Doneraile Court - She's a Nasty One, by Touch Gold) last month. Since his 7 ¼ length score, Scherer Magic has worked strongly. His full sister won her debut, but was unplaced in two subsequent juvenile stakes races. There’s some minor blacktype in the second distaff generation.

Third time was the charm for STRONG WIND (Tribal Rule - Chalk Face, by Memo) when he trounced state-bred maidens by over six lengths. He’s a full brother to juvenile stakes placed Tribal Face. His dam is a full sister to a stakes winner and G-2 placed runner.

Still a maiden, CONFEDERATE RECON (Salute the Sarge - Building Bridges, by Indian Charlie) has been bested by Carson’s Crown and Just Call Me Al. Bred to be a precocious sprinter, Confederate Recon’s first crop sire won the 2007 Hollywood Juvenile Championship. Confederate Recon carries no blacktype in his first two generations.


Track bias: Front runners dominate sprint races at 44% this meet.

It’s Amarish’s race to lose. The undefeated colt has made no mistakes. Trainer John Sadler claimed Scherer Magic and the colt has been working strongly. The Sadler barn gets 29% wins off of the claim. Carson's Crown has a classy pedigree and he owns the best works of the field. Dirty Swagg also has a good pedigree and with a good break, he should be competitive.




#1 DIRTY SWAGG – longshot pick