Friday, October 5, 2012

Dixiana Breeders’ Futurity–Anyone’s Race

Frizette Stakes pedigrees & selections at the main IMT Website.

 

KeenelandGateOnly three colts have pulled off the Dixiana Breeders' Futurity/Breeders’ Cup Juvenile double, and none have managed this feat since 1997. In the last eleven years, four horses that have won or placed in the Futurity have also finished second or third in the breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Street Sense was third in the 2006 Futurity due to his dislike of Polytrack, but he went on to earn a win in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and Two Year Old Championship honors.

Typical for the Dixiana Breeders' Futurity (G-1), this year’s edition of the race has a full field of 12 colts entered as well as two also-eligibles. The race is a wide-open affair. Let's take a look at some contenders that may have an impact on the race.

The luke-warm morning line favorite at 4-1 is TIZRACER (Tiznow - G City Gal, by Elusive Quality). The Todd Pletcher trainee won his second start by 10 ½ lengths when stretching out to a mile over the Belmont dirt. His dam is a multiple G-3 winner and his second dam is also a stakes winner.

Breaking from the inside, JOHA (Johar -Mujado, by Mujadil) is by a top polysire. He won the Colin Stakes over the Woodbine Poly, then just missed taking the With Anticipation (G-2) by a head after making all of the pace. His dam is a stakes winner.

POSITIVELY (Distorted Humor - Macoumba, by Mr. Prospector) was given time off after a strong run in the Bashford Manor. As a half brother to the popular sire Malibu Moon, Positively owns one of the best pedigrees in the field. He’s bred to go two turns. Positively’s dam was a Group 1 winner in France and his second dam was the highly respected French multiple Group winner Maximova.

BALANCE THE BOOKS (Lemon Drop Kid- Kreisleriana, by Seeking the Gold) possesses the highest late pace Brisnet speed figure in the field. He put in a gutsy effort in the With Anticipation Stakes, flying six wide on the turn to get up for the victory by a head in the 1 1/16 mile turf contest. His second dam Kooyonga was a Champion Miler in Ireland.

DYNAMIC SKY (Sky Mesa - Murani, by Distorted Humor) won the 6 ½ furlong Simco Stakes at Woodbine in his last start. His dam is a turf stakes winner and his second dam Grand Splash was also a stakes winner. Dynamic Sky has an excellent polypedigree and a triple digit late pace speed figure.

HE'S HAD ENOUGH (Tapit - Amelia, by Dixieland Band) was last to break but made up 9 ½ lengths in his debut to score by ½ a length over the Del Mar Polytrack in his debut. Jumping into stakes company, the pretty gray colt found himself 12 lengths off of the pace in the swiftly run Oak Tree Juvenile Turf Stakes. He again made a nice run, only to run out of real estate, finishing sixth, 2 ½ lengths behind the winner. He's Had Enough has a spectacular female family. He's a half brother to the Grade 1 turf placed Kindergarten Kid. Their dam won a turf stakes at Calder. The second dam Aquilegia is a multiple graded stakes winner. She's a full sister to the Champion Thee Year Old Filly Althea. That one's daughters gave us the Grade 1 winning sire Arch, Frizette heroine Ballato and Juddmonte Spinster winner Acoma. The multiple Group 1 winner and sire Green Desert is out of another half sister. He's Had Enough's third dam Courtly Dee is a blue hen. The last horse to ship in from California and score a victory in the Breeders' Futurity was Great Hunter in 2006.

PATAKY KID (Rockport Harbor - Prom Princess, by Gold Case) won the Arlington Washington Futurity (G-3) in his last start. His speed figures have improved in every start. Patakay Kid is the first stakes winner produced by his unraced dam. The second dam is a stakes winner and multiple stakes placed. This is the female family of Champion Silverbulletday, Grade 1 heroines Forest Secrets and Cindy's Hero, the multiple Grade 1 turf router Forty Niner's Son and Belmont Stakes champ Arts and Letters. Pataky Kid will attempt to emulate Wicked Style, who captured the AW Futurity/Breeders' Futurity double in 2007.

JAVA'S WAR (War Pass - Java, by Rainbow Quest) has pointed for the Breeders' Futurity since his victory in the Sunday Silence at Louisiana Downs. He's a son of the Champion Two Year Old of 2007. Sadly, War Pass sired only one crop before his death. Java's War is a half brother to the stakes placed Coffee Bar. Their dam is a full sister to the Champion Turf Mare Fiji. Java War's speed figures have improved in every start.

SELECTIONS

Since 2006, the Dixiana Breeders' Futurity has been contested over Polytrack, three pacesetter/pressers have won. Two mid-pack runners have been successful and only one deep closer has scored.

#1 JOHA

#12 DYNAMIC SKY

#11 BALANCE THE BOOKS

#13 HE'S HAD ENOUGH – longshot pick

 

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